Bitcoin price recovery dream meets $18.8 trillion household debt, and one Fed decision could flip everything

The US economy is starting 2026 with an uncomfortable split-screen scenario that is complicating the outlook for Bitcoin’s recovery towards $100,000. While Wall Street credit pricing still looks calm, the “real economy” stress gauges are flashing late-cycle warning lights. This disconnect matters for Bitcoin because its path to $100,000 is

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Bitcoin difficulty just plunged 11% but a projected rebound next week may decide miners’ fate

Bitcoin’s mining difficulty decreased by 11.16% to approximately 125.86 trillion at the most recent retarget boundary around block 935,424. That marks the largest negative adjustment since the 2021 China mining ban, the sixth consecutive downward retarget, and the tenth largest negative adjustment in Bitcoin’s history. However, difficulty adjustments are lagging

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